Level 1 Storm Forecast Issued


Valid: Sun 29 Mar 2015 06:00 to Mon 30 Mar 2015 06:00 UTC
Issued: Sun 29 Mar 2015 00:14
Forecaster: TASZAREK

A level 1 was issued for British Isles, Benelux, N France, SW Germany mainly for the severe wind gusts of convective origin and in lesser extent for tornadoes A level 1 was issued for W and S coast of Turkey for waterspouts

Weather in Europe will be mainly driven by the low over Iceland and two highs over Russia and Azores. Extensive cold high over E Europe will provide dry weather over most of the N and E Europe inhibiting convection. Developed in warm air mass Azores High will also inhibit convective activity in most of the SW Europe. The best conditions for the thunderstorms are expected over E Mediterranean and Turkey where the top of the long-wave and weakening cutoff will provide favorable conditions for convection in low sheared environment. Within deep low over NW Europe shortwave trough will push cold and relatively dry air masses of polar origin into W Europe and the thunderstorms in the highly sheared environment are plausible. The main Jet streak will extend in the forecast period from N Atlantic to Benelux.

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